LONGLISTED FOR THE FT/MCKINSEY BUSINESS BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD 2020 'A brilliant new book' Daily Telegraph 'Well written . . . and often entertaining' The Times 'A sparkling analysis' Prospect 'Entertaining and enlightening . . . This is a necessary critique and they make it with verve, knowledge and a wealth of stories' Financial Times 'An elegant, wise and timely book' Irish ...(展开全部)

Much economic advice is bogus quantification, warn two leading experts in this essential book. Invented numbers offer false security; we need instead robust narratives that yield the confidence to manage uncertainty. Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry’s actuarial tables and the gambler’s roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most s...(展开全部)

This 2009 book describes the classical axiomatic theories of decision under uncertainty, as well as critiques thereof and alternative theories. It focuses on the meaning of probability, discussing some definitions and surveying their scope of applicability. The behavioral definition of subjective probability serves as a way to present the classical theories, culminating in Sava...(展开全部)

作者/乔治·G. 斯皮罗（George G.Szpiro） 世界知名科普作家，一位从数学家转行的记者，苏黎世联邦理工学院数学硕士，斯坦福大学管理硕士，希伯来大学数学经济学博士，曾任教于希伯来大学、苏黎世大学等，长期担任瑞士报纸《新苏黎世报》驻以色列特派员。著有《开普勒的猜想》《定价未来》《数学的秘密生活》等。 其中《数学的秘密生活》中文版已销售超过30万册。 译者/秦传安 自由译者，生于湖口，现居北京。以译书谋稻粱，托刘伶为知己，攀陶令作老乡。

This text presents a clear and concise explanation of argumentation and provides models for good argumentation, particularly as it applies to academic debate.

作者：(美)戴维R.安德森 丹尼斯J.斯威尼 托马斯A.威廉斯 译者：侯文华 戴维R.安德森(David R.Anderson)是辛辛那提大学工商管理学院定量分析领域的教授，他生于北达科他州的大福克斯，早年在Purdue大学获得学士、硕士和博士学位。安德森教授曾任定量分析与运作管理系的主任以及工商管理学院的副院长，他还曾任学院高级管理项目的主管。在辛辛那提大学，安德森教授为商学院的学生讲授统计概论、为研究生教授回归分析、多变量分析以及管理科学。他还在华盛顿劳工部教授统计学。因为在教学和对学生组织服务上的卓越表现，他被提名并获得诸多奖项。安德森教授与人合著了10本教科书，内容涵盖了统计、管理科学、线性规划及生产运作管理。在抽样和统计方法领域里，他还是个活跃的咨询人士。

Building on lecture notes from his acclaimed course at Stanford University, James March provides a brilliant introduction to decision making, a central human activity fundamental to individual, group, organizational, and societal life. March draws on research from all the disciplines of social and behavioral science to show decision making in its broadest context. By emphasizin...(展开全部)

Behavioral decision research has developed considerably over the past 25 years, and now provides important insights into managerial behavior. Bazerman & Moore’s Judgment in Managerial Decision Making, 7 th edition embeds behavioral decision research into the organizational realm by examining judgment in a variety of managerial contexts. This book includes information that ...(展开全部)